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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 98%
By: rootdata|2026/02/28 18:43:32
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According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 98%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.9%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 83.8%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.3%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 39.5%.
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