CZ Dismisses Binance Return, Eyes Bitcoin Supercycle for 2026

By: crypto insight|2026/01/27 00:00:03
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Key Takeaways

  • Changpeng Zhao has dismissed the idea of returning to Binance despite his pardon and emphasizes the company does not require his leadership input at this stage.
  • Zhao’s departure from Binance opened up space for new leaders to take charge, leading to substantial growth in users and trading volume.
  • Anticipation is high for a Bitcoin ‘super cycle’ in 2026, breaking away from its historical four-year pricing trend.
  • The U.S.’s pro-crypto stance might catalyze a shift in the market cycle and influence global crypto adoption.

WEEX Crypto News, 2026-01-26 14:02:42

In the dynamic world of cryptocurrency, where market trends often shift swiftly, the leadership and strategic decisions of key figures continue to exert substantial influence. A recent revelation from Changpeng Zhao, commonly known as CZ, the influential co-founder of Binance, addresses two pivotal topics: his clear stance on not returning to Binance, and his projections for an anticipated ‘Bitcoin supercycle’ by 2026. Both elements are crucial in understanding the current and future landscape of digital currencies.

Changpeng Zhao and Binance: A Departure and its Aftermath

Changpeng Zhao, a central figure in the inception of Binance, has decisively ruled out any intentions of returning to the company, despite a recent pardon from former U.S. President Donald Trump which theoretically lifted past restrictions on his professional engagements. In a candid discussion on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Zhao disclosed that he felt his departure after a period of seven years was a crucial step for both personal and organizational growth. He acknowledged the pain of stepping away initially but ultimately recognized the opportunity it provided for new leadership to emerge and drive the exchange forward.

Zhao’s exit, influenced by a legal entanglement in 2023, resulted in a guilty plea for inadequate Anti-Money Laundering protocols at Binance, culminating in a prison sentence and a ban from working with the exchange. Despite the legal hurdles and subsequent pardon, Zhao appears unwavering in his decision not to return, indicating a belief in the competencies of the current Binance leadership.

Transition to New Leaders: Growth Metrics and Strategic Vision

Since Zhao’s departure, Binance has demonstrated notable growth without missing a strategic beat. Now under the capable leadership of Richard Teng and Yi He, the exchange has seen its user base swell beyond 300 million, with product trading volumes climbing to an impressive $34 trillion as of last year. Zhao, currently a passive shareholder, attributes these achievements to the decisive and effective strategies employed by the new executive team, distancing himself from operational intricacies. He remains engaged through advisory communication, choosing platforms like Twitter to voice insights and suggestions.

The decision to remain detached underscores an evolution from the perspective of management style within organizations, where stepping aside to encourage the influx of fresh leadership perspectives can be as pivotal as direct involvement. This ensures not only the cultivation of future-forward strategies but also the fostering of internal development and succession planning.

Forecasting a Bitcoin Supercycle: A Break from Tradition?

As 2026 unfolds, the cryptocurrency landscape is marked by uncertainties, yet optimism arises from predictions of a Bitcoin ‘supercycle’ by Zhao and other industry experts. Historically, Bitcoin adheres to a cyclical nature defined by four-year intervals of peaks and troughs. However, Zhao suggests a propitious deviation driven by favorable global regulatory climates, an increasing appetite for digital assets, and the U.S.’s unusually proactive stance on crypto development and regulation.

In economic parlance, a supercycle represents an extended period characterized by outsized economic growth driven by robust fundamentals. For Bitcoin, this could translate into unprecedented growth and stability, potentially departing from its entrenched pattern of cyclical market cycles. This prediction, if realized, would have far-reaching implications, reshaping the expectations not only for Bitcoin but the broader cryptocurrency market.

The Influence of Policy and Global Adoption

The conjecture surrounding a potential supercycle is not without reason. The adoption of supportive crypto policies in the United States, a leading global financial powerhouse, sets a precedent for other countries to follow, possibly igniting a ripple effect that would alter the cryptocurrency market structure globally. As nations observe and model after such significant policy shifts, a more consistent and expansive growth trajectory could unfold for digital currencies.

Moreover, this anticipated supercycle may reinforce Bitcoin’s position as digital gold, drawing in both institutional and retail investors aiming to diversify portfolios amidst traditional market volatilities. The scenario also underscores a broader confidence in cryptocurrencies, substantiating their relevance in modern investment strategies and financial systems.

Aligning Brand with Industry Shifts: The Role of Exchanges like WEEX

For cryptocurrency trading platforms such as WEEX, aligning with these anticipated market shifts is crucial. Investing in adaptive technologies, enhancing user-centric features, and ensuring a robust regulatory compliance framework are foreseeable measures. As market dynamics evolve, so do the expectations on exchanges to provide not just trading capabilities but holistic financial solutions that cater to the diversifying needs of users.

Platforms that anticipate these changes can potentially capture a more significant market share, leveraging global shifts in crypto regulation and adoption to solidify their market presence. For WEEX, this could mean positioning themselves strategically, leveraging unique strengths, and innovating continuously to stay ahead in an industry poised for transformation.

Conclusion: Navigating the Future of Cryptocurrency

As the cryptocurrency ecosystem navigates through potential paradigm shifts, the insights from industry thought leaders like Changpeng Zhao provide valuable foresight. By opting out of an active role in Binance, Zhao exemplifies a leadership philosophy that prioritizes progression and new leadership development. Simultaneously, his optimism about the future of Bitcoin denotes an evolving understanding of market dynamics, driven by both speculation and strategic foresight.

Looking ahead, both digital currency enthusiasts and skeptics must prepare to observe these developments closely. If Zhao’s predictions hold true, the landscape of crypto-investing might witness unprecedented changes, paving the way for wider adoption, deeper integration into global economies, and perhaps, reshaping the financial systems of emerging markets.


Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What is a Bitcoin supercycle?

A Bitcoin supercycle refers to an extensive period of significant growth and sustainability in Bitcoin’s value, potentially deviating from its traditional four-year cycle of peaks and troughs.

Why is Changpeng Zhao not returning to Binance despite his pardon?

Changpeng Zhao believes his role at Binance is no longer necessary and desires to leave space for new leaders to grow. Despite a presidential pardon that lifted previous restrictions, he stays involved only as a passive shareholder.

How has Binance fared since Zhao’s departure?

Since Zhao’s departure, Binance has seen considerable growth, with its user base expanding to over 300 million and product trading volumes reaching $34 trillion last year under new leadership.

What factors might influence a Bitcoin supercycle in 2026?

Supportive regulatory environments, increased global adoption, particularly by the U.S., and a broader institutional and retail interest in digital currencies might drive the anticipated Bitcoin supercycle.

How can WEEX adapt to the potential Bitcoin supercycle?

WEEX can capitalize on anticipated market shifts by investing in adaptive technologies, improving user features, ensuring robust compliance, and leveraging shifts in global crypto regulations to enhance its market position.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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