Bitcoin Dips, Gold Futures Skyrocket Amidst European Threat of ‘Trade Bazooka’

By: crypto insight|2026/01/19 16:30:00
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Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin’s price took a significant hit, dropping nearly $3,500 as European retaliations to Trump’s tariffs loomed.
  • Gold futures surged to unprecedented heights amid fears of escalating US-EU trade tensions.
  • Trump’s tariff threat included major European economies, sparking fears of a broader trade conflict.
  • Analysts suggest the trade war could induce a risk-off sentiment in global markets.

WEEX Crypto News, 2026-01-19 08:20:21

In the ever-volatile world of cryptocurrency and precious metals, recent events have thrown markets into a frenzy. Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency, encountered a considerable downturn as European Union (EU) leaders threatened a strong response, dubbed a ‘trade bazooka,’ to US-imposed tariffs. Meanwhile, precious metals like gold and silver have witnessed significant gains, indicating a shift in investor sentiment amidst the brewing geopolitical tension.

The Current Market Scenario: Bitcoin and Gold

Bitcoin experienced a dramatic dip, shedding 3.6% of its value in a swift downturn linked to geopolitical tensions involving the United States and Europe. In the early hours of Monday, the cryptocurrency plunged from $95,450 to just under $92,000 on platforms like Coinbase. This unexpected fall resulted in a massive liquidation of long positions, totaling an estimated $750 million within a mere four-hour window. The overall liquidation across the 24-hour span surpassed $860 million, leaving the digital asset market reeling.

In stark contrast, gold futures spiked to record-breaking levels as traders sought refuge in assets considered safe havens during times of economic uncertainty. Reports indicated that gold futures soared to an all-time high of $4,667 per ounce. Silver also saw remarkable gains, exceeding $93 per ounce for the first time in documented history. These movements signal a decoupling of traditional safe havens from their digital counterparts, reflecting a changing dynamic in investor confidence and strategy.

The Context of Tariff Talk

Tensions soared over the weekend as former US President Donald Trump proposed a 10% tariff on imports from multiple European nations, including Denmark, Sweden, France, Germany, the Netherlands, and Finland. This initiative is part of a broader strategic move tied to disputes over Greenland, with a tariff increase to 25% set for June if no resolutions are reached. Notably, the United Kingdom and Norway were explicitly listed among the countries poised to face these heightened US tariffs.

In response, European leaders, spearheaded by French President Emmanuel Macron, have urged for robust retaliatory measures. The EU is contemplating the activation of its formidable trade countermeasure, aptly named the “anti-coercion instrument” or “trade bazooka,” potentially restricting US access to EU markets. Moreover, there’s dialogue regarding implementing 93 billion euros (approximately $108 billion) in overdue retaliatory tariffs. These measures highlight Europe’s intention to match the US’s aggressive trade tactics.

Impact on Global Markets: Investment Perspectives

The prospect of an escalating trade war between the US and Europe has sparked considerable anxiety across global markets. Analysts foresee a risk-off environment where investors might pull back from high-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies. Despite Bitcoin’s resemblance to tech stocks in terms of volatility, these economic upheavals lead digital assets to stagger. Industry experts suggest that Bitcoin’s current vulnerabilities are accentuated by its recent drop below $93,000, attributing the decline to severe liquidations and fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD).

One research lead from Bitrue, Andri Fauzan Adziima, highlighted the potential for short-term turbulence to give way to long-term gains should monetary systems weaken. This narrative echoes a broader sentiment that while pain is immediate, opportunities for growth remain substantial if strategic nimbleness is maintained. Jeff Mei, chief operations officer at the BTSE exchange, further underscores the severity of these developments, remarking on the profound market unease stemming from threats targeting US allies.

Analyzing the Ripple Effects on Investor Behavior

The chaotic intertwining of trade policies and market dynamics emphasizes the crucial role of geopolitical factors in shaping investor behaviors. As things stand, traders are bracing for potential market downturns, equivalent to levels witnessed in April 2025, should Trump’s threats materialize. The anticipated response by institutional investors will be to prudently reassess their holdings. This approach could potentially cushion their portfolios against the repercussions of a prolonged US-EU trade conflict.

Recent events exemplify the delicate balance between geopolitical developments and market stability. Investor strategies are evolving, with a heightened focus on preserving capital against a backdrop of escalating international discord. Precious metals continue to present themselves as a sanctuary from economic upheavals, while cryptocurrencies remain vulnerable to shocks induced by global events.

Broader Implications on Future Trade Relations

The looming trade confrontation between the US and Europe raises critical questions regarding international trade’s future trajectory and the length to which countries will go to protect their economic interests. The strategic tug-of-war over Greenland and its broader geopolitical stakes remind us of the complexities inherent in modern economic diplomacy.

The EU and US have long been significant trade partners, boasting a mutually beneficial economic relationship. However, recent discord threatens to not only disrupt this relationship but also to trigger broader repercussions throughout the global economic landscape. The potential imposition of tariffs signals more than just economic strain; it embodies a fundamental challenge to collaborative progress and the global supply chain.

As the world watches closely, the ramifications of these developments will play a pivotal role in shaping the discourse on trade policies, economic cooperation, and competitive advantage in the years to come.

Navigating Forward: Investment Strategies Amid Uncertainty

In the midst of such tumultuous scenarios, investors are left navigating an ever-complicated landscape. Striking a balance between caution and opportunity will be paramount as stakeholders weigh the risks against the potential returns inherent in an evolving global economy. Now more than ever, drawing from sound analytical frameworks, practical wisdom, and forecasting prowess will define successful investment outcomes.

The path forward may be shrouded in uncertainty, but with strategic adaptability and an informed perspective, there exists the potential to mitigate risks while optimizing upon emergent opportunities. As history has shown, every period of economic uncertainty is accompanied by its own set of challenges and advantages, with foresight and resilience proving essential. The current circumstances are no different.

Conclusion: Navigating the Digital and Precious Metal Intersection

The synchronous downturn in cryptocurrencies and ascent in precious metals encapsulates the intricate dance of modern financial markets. Bitcoin, with its historical predisposition towards volatility, finds itself once again at the mercy of external forces. Meanwhile, gold and silver assert their enduring status as pillars of stability within an investment universe defined by flux and speculation.

Through careful observation and an appreciation of the contextual layers encompassing these commodities, market participants can better prepare for the twists and turns inherent to this evolving narrative.

In conclusion, strategic navigation amidst these fluctuations will be integral, underpinned by sound judgment, comprehensive analysis, and prudent planning.


FAQs

What events led to the recent Bitcoin drop?

Recent declines in Bitcoin are primarily linked to the escalation of trade tensions between the US and Europe, coupled with the announcement of new US-imposed tariffs on European imports, inciting fear and uncertainty within the market.

Why are gold futures rising amid geopolitical tensions?

Gold futures are experiencing a surge due to their perceived role as a safe-haven asset, attracting investors seeking stability in uncertain economic climates such as the ones engendered by US-EU trade disputes.

How might US-imposed tariffs on Europe impact global markets?

The introduction of tariffs on European imports by the US has heightened fears of a trade war, threatening to strain international relations and triggering broad market uncertainty, with potential impacts on global trade and investment flows.

What are the risks of a US-EU trade war?

A trade war between the US and EU could lead to reduced economic cooperation, potential tariffs on a wider range of goods, strained diplomatic relations, and increased market volatility as nations vie for economic leverage.

How can investors protect their portfolios during turbulent economic periods?

Investors may safeguard their portfolios during economic turbulence by diversifying their asset allocation, leaning towards stable, low-volatility investments like precious metals, and remaining vigilant about geopolitical events that could influence market dynamics.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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